Dry weather in North and South Bengal over next few days’

MP, 9 Nov 2024, Kolkata: The cyclonic circulation situated over southwest Bay of Bengal is likely to intensify into a low-pressure area in the next 48 hours but it is not sure if it will have an impact on Bengal, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) informed on Friday. 

The MeT office said that both North and South Bengal districts will mainly witness dry weather in the next couple of days.
According to the IMD, the low pressure is likely to move nearly westwards towards Tamil Nadu/Sri Lanka coasts during the subsequent two days. 

The weather office has warned of heavy rainfall in Tamil Nadu from November 8-14, Pondicherry & Karaikal on November 8 and November 12, Kerala & Mahe on November 8 and November 13-14 and coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Rayalaseema during November 11-13. 

There is no prediction of any heavy rainfall in Bengal yet. The MeT office has, however, said that the people in South Bengal may get a feeling of winter from the middle of November as there is likely to be a change in the weather system. 

The cold northern wind will have an uninterrupted flow from the middle of the month. 

IMD:

Weather Systems and Forecast

Weather Systems

• Cyclonic Circulation:
  A cyclonic circulation persists over the southwest Bay of Bengal and extends up to 3.6 km above mean sea level. Under its influence, a low-pressure area is likely to form over the southwest Bay of Bengal within the next 48 hours. This system is expected to move westward towards the Tamil Nadu/Sri Lanka coasts over the subsequent two days.

• Trough Formation:
  A trough extends from the cyclonic circulation over the southwest Bay of Bengal to the east-central Bay of Bengal, reaching up to middle tropospheric levels.

Forecast and Warnings (Up to 7 Days)

• Rainfall Forecast:

  • Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal; Kerala & Mahe (08th-12th November): Light to moderate rainfall with isolated thunderstorms and lightning.
  • Very Heavy Rainfall:
    • Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal: 08th & 12th November.
    • Kerala & Mahe: 08th November.
  • Heavy Rainfall:
    • Tamil Nadu: 08th-14th November.
    • Kerala & Mahe: 13th-14th November.
    • Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Rayalaseema: 11th-13th November.

• Fog Advisory:
  Isolated dense fog likely over Himachal Pradesh on the mornings of 09th & 10th November.

Temperature Conditions

• Past 24 Hours (till 08:30 IST):
  Minimum temperatures have remained above normal by 3-5°C in Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad, Punjab, Haryana, Uttarakhand, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, Odisha, Rajasthan, northern Gujarat, and by 2-3°C in Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Kerala & Mahe, southern Gujarat. Remaining parts of the country experienced near-normal temperatures.

• Forecast:
  Minimum temperatures likely to fall gradually by 2-4°C over the Western Himalayan region in the next 5 days. No significant change expected elsewhere in the country during the week.

Delhi/NCR Weather (08th-11th November 2024)

Past Weather:

• A slight drop in maximum temperature was observed over the last 24 hours.
• Temperature Range: Maximum: 30-32°C; Minimum: 15-19°C.
• Maximum temperature was 1-2°C above normal, and minimum was 4-5°C above normal in some areas.
• Predominantly smoggy conditions with light surface winds (4-6 kmph) during the day and calm winds at night.

Weather Forecast:

• 08.11.2024: Mainly clear skies. Surface winds from variable directions with speeds of 6-8 kmph, decreasing to less than 4 kmph at night. Smog/mist likely in the evening/night.
• 09.11.2024: Mainly clear skies. Morning winds under 4 kmph, increasing to 8 kmph in the afternoon and reducing again in the evening. Smog/shallow fog/mist in the morning and night.
• 10.11.2024: Mainly clear skies. Morning winds under 4 kmph, increasing to 6-8 kmph in the afternoon, reducing to less than 6 kmph at night. Smog/mist in the evening/night.
• 11.11.2024: Mainly clear skies. Morning winds under 4 kmph, increasing to 6-10 kmph from southeast/east in the afternoon, reducing to 4-6 kmph in the evening/night. Smog/mist expected.